By Jim Schutze
By Rachel Watts
By Lauren Drewes Daniels
By Anna Merlan
By Lee Escobedo
Oddly, Democratic voters selected Renfroe and Watkins over candidates who were, by just about any standard, more qualified. Scott Chase once served as the corporate counsel for a network of 70 hospitals. During his campaign, he talked about issues facing Parkland hospital along with the grim state of health care at the county jail. If he made one mistake, it was that he underestimated his opponent, who nearly beat Mayfield in 2002.
"The fact is, we didn't take her seriously," Chase admits. "She had a bad reputation. She's not qualified. In our debates it was very clear she didn't know anything about the issues. She essentially used her name recognition and her nickname to win."
In the Democratic primary for district attorney, candidate Larry Jarrett would have been a strong choice to take on Republican Toby Shook. A dynamic speaker, Jarrett served in the Judge Advocate General's Corps, retiring as a captain. He also worked as a felony prosecutor in the district attorney's office before serving as an assistant U.S. attorney. In contrast, Watkins has no extensive prosecutorial experience.
Democratic attorney Peter Lesser, who ran against Watkins in 2002, says that the primary for district attorney wasn't exactly about qualifications.
"When Watkins ran against me, his campaign was I went to this elementary school, this middle school, this high school," he says. "That was basically his campaign against Jarrett."
Former Democratic Congressman John Bryant says that Republicans tend to be more centralized in their approach to party politics. As a result, they usually coalesce around a more viable candidate.
"There is a great deal more money for Republican candidates and those who contribute communicate well with each other and try to focus their contributions on the candidate who is most viable," says Bryant, who endorsed both Chase and Jarrett.
The Dallas County Democrats do have some things in their favor, if not the candidates themselves. First, of course, is that both locally and nationwide, the Republican Party is reeling. Locally, Republicans such as Ken Mayfield are taking shots at Governor Rick Perry, while President George W. Bush, well, what is there to say? Perhaps more to the point for local Democrats is that demographic trends show that Dallas is becoming more Hispanic, more ethnic and less white. For your average Republican, that news is about as demoralizing as finding out that Dillard's is no longer carrying pleated khakis.
"The Republicans are working hard to convince themselves that demography is not destiny but, in fact, things are moving toward the Democrats, and the Republicans are going to have to work very hard and use their ground game to hold back the tide," says SMU political scientist Cal Jillson.
Still, despite having to fend off an influx of Democratic constituencies in Dallas County, the Republican Party is likely to retain control of 80 percent of the commissioners court after November's elections. (John Wiley Price is the county's only Democratic commissioner; the other three and the county judge are Republicans.) The Democrats couldn't find anyone to run against Mike Cantrell, even though he is partially responsible for the county's calamitous new computer system, while Renfroe will struggle to pull Chase's supporters into her camp in her grudge match against Mayfield. Finally, the Democrats don't exactly have a top-shelf candidate to run against Dallas County Judge Margaret Keliher, even though she slipped past Harryette Ehrhardt by fewer than 4 percentage points in their 2002 contest. The Democratic candidate this time around is Jim Foster, who has run for constable, sheriff and now county judge. He is self-employed and runs an alarm business.
Finally, no talk of the Democratic Party's credibility gap is complete without a mention of Judge Sally Montgomery, who was a bright spot for the party when she won election to a county court at law seat in 2002. Since rising to the bench, Montgomery has been named the worst civil judge in the state by the Texas Observer, while the members of the Dallas Bar Association gave her only a 33 percent approval rating in their judicial evaluation poll--by far the lowest among her peers. Adding insult to insults, Montgomery is now being sued by her former court reporter, Cayce Coskey, who alleges the judge withheld critical information from the defense counsel in a wrongful death suit.
While conceding that his party could have fielded a sharper slate of candidates this November, Lesser says that the "long-term outlook for the Democratic Party in Dallas County is very good." But Jillson, the political scientist, says that the Dems can't solely depend on demographic trends alone to seal their destiny.
"For the Dallas County Democratic Party to be successful, they'll have to gain a certain amount of credibility among moderate and independent voters," he says. "If voters think that is not the case--if people who are not ready for prime time actually get elected--voters may think twice the next time around."
Then again, the party could always come up with more nicknames.