USA Today's Richard Wolf attended this morning's Third Way breakfast, where former Dallas Mayor-turned-U.S. Trade Representative Ron Kirk insisted the demographic shift in Texas over the last decade -- where 38 percent of the population is now Hispanic, 12 percent African-American -- has paved the way for a Democratic victory in Texas come 2012. Maybe. Probably. Maybe. Hard to say. Let's jump to the end:
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"Even if you just look at the demographics, I think we're going to get there," he says of Democrats' chances statewide. "The Republicans are doing everything they can to move our explosive Hispanic population away from being swing voters to solidly blue."
Too optimistic, perhaps? After all, this is the state of George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush, and GOP Gov. Rick Perry just won his third full term.
"If there's a definition of an optimist," Kirk says, "it's a black Democrat in Texas."