If Marion Barber was healthy. If Ben Roethlisberger was healthy. If Felix Jones and Miles Austin and Kyle Kosier were all 100 percent for Sunday's Cowboys-Steelers game.
Oh yeah, and if the field wasn't a patch of slippery sod slop out of a Saving Private Ryan battle scene.
If all those were in play, I'd feel comfortable about Dallas plus 3 points in Pittsburgh. No doubt that, at equal strength, the Cowboys are a better team. With Tony Romo in uniform Dallas is 7-2 with losses only in overtime at Arizona on a blocked punt and by two points to the Redskins.
But injuries and elements will be major factors come Sunday. So ...
I'll take the under. 41 points sounds like a lot. Considering Pittsburgh's No. 1 defense, Roethlisberger's iffy health and the game played in snowy, 28-degree weather, I see more 14-10 than 35-31.
I started with a mythical bankroll of $10,000, courtesy of Bodog Online Gaming. First of all, because their site is easy to navigate. Second, because they're based in Costa Rica and have had minimal success tracking me down in the past.
I'll analyze games/wagers of local interest each weekend and make a wager or two every Friday. With any luck, by Christmas it'll be toys for everyone.
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CURRENT BANKROLL: $7,000
SEASON RECORD: 6-8
LAST WEEK: 1-0 (+$3,000)
THIS WEEK: Cowboys-Steelers Under 41 points for $2,000. - Richie Whitt