Believe it. If nothing else changes between now and the special election, that's what could happen.
The scenario goes like this: A fed-up, cynical, deeply frustrated Dallas electorate--probably including me--votes for and elects Miller in a special election some time early next year.
People who think a Mayor Miller can't happen in Dallas are seriously kidding themselves. According to the polling I'm hearing about, she's way out front already in name identification. More important: Her support comes from the kind of activist voters who are likely to vote in a low-turnout, short-campaign election with no viable minority candidate.
But then what? Is Laura Miller able to put together any kind of reasonable coalition on the city council to govern the city? The people who know her best--including people who really like Miller and admire the role she has played as a city council member from Oak Cliff--say no way. And they say the reasons she won't be able to govern have less to do with politics than personality.
That sound-bite person you see on TV all the time--Laurastiltskin, mad as hell, stomping herself into the ground, calling everybody a liar and a fool--that's the real thing. She's no fake, unfortunately. If anything, Laurastiltskin may be the inner demon that the political Laura can't keep in the bottle.
Dan Weiser, Miller's first campaign chairman, chairman of her husband's first campaign for the state House of Representatives 20 years ago, a family friend for goodness sake, said to me: "People who are not political junkies, if they had to vote today, they'd vote for Laura. If they are political junkies, most of them seem to be very concerned about her not being able to put together a political coalition on the council."
I think it comes to this: Laurastiltskin is the one we love. But Mayorstiltskin?
We're all frustrated with this useless British-style colonial civil service system downtown, in which the bureaucracy never responds to anybody's real needs and spends all of its time instead on ceremonial bagpipe and kilt campaigns for the greater glory of the Raj at the direction of a bunch of rummy, cigar-smoking Park Cities huff 'n' puffs who don't even live in the city and who've never seen a pothole because they ride around in little silk tents on top of their elephants.
It's satisfying and gratifying and ratifying to see Laurastiltskin down there sticking pins in their gravid powdered and bejeweled bellies. But the simple political reality is that a mayor in this dumb system has to be able to put together seven other votes, or she can't actually do anything.
Weiser, a longtime Democratic activist, says, "She's made an excellent member on the council as a critic. We have been friends over the years. But I have told both her and [her husband] Steve [Wolens] on several occasions what I think: One Laura Miller on the council is great. Two Laura Millers on the council would be OK. But more Laura Millers than that you don't want."
Weiser has been around a long time. He knows exactly what happens if you wind up with a mayor who can't put together his or her own ruling coalition: "If the elected mayor doesn't put it together, somebody else will."
In other words, the huff 'n' puffs will just find their way to whoever else it is on the council who can string together eight votes and get stuff done. That's where Mary Poss comes back in.
Clayton Henry, a political adviser to Poss, argues that she already has a reputation for getting things done on the council. "There are those of us who have felt that she was the one really running things anyway while Mayor [Ron] Kirk went around and did the public ceremonial things."
She herself said to me, "I am known for quietly getting things done behind the scenes."
So Mayor Kirk leaves town to run for the Senate. Mayor Pro Tem Poss succeeds him as acting mayor until a special election can be held sometime early next year. Even though her name recognition was impressive in some of the recent polls, she surprised people recently by stepping out of the running for mayor in the special election.
Poss is term-limited out at the end of her current council term in May 2003, but she will still be on the council during the remainder of the term of whoever gets elected mayor in the special election. That puts her in position to be the go-to guy for the establishment if Miller gets elected mayor. And that makes Poss the real mayor, because if she emerges as the coalition broker, the city manager and everybody else in town will kowtow to her, not Miller.