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Dems See Bigger Blowout Than ’06 Based on Early Voting Numbers

With early voting wrapping up yesterday, we contacted Kirk McPike, Sheriff Lupe Valdez’s campaign manager and number-cruncher for local Democrats, for the latest on what the party is forecasting. He says Democratic-aligned precincts in general are outvoting the trends in terms of percentage of the vote from 2006 when the party swept the Republicans.

“We’re very encouraged in what we’re seeing in the numbers,” McPike told Unfair Park while block-walking this morning.

McPike identifies Democrats as those voting in at least the last two Democratic primaries, and although he says he has no definitive ethnicity data, his feeling is that those numbers will be up as well since there is a correlation between minority and Democratic voters. McPike estimates the final early voting count will be between 505,000 and 510,000 voters, and he expects another 300,000 on Election Day.

So, seriously, Republicans could get trounced worse than ’06?

“It certainly seems that way, yes,” McPike says. “Senator Obama has a way of getting people out to vote.” --Sam Merten

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